Dr. UV's UVCMI Model & Indicator Guide .... Post # 524_041526_Wed_6pm
A Complete Introduction for New and Existing Subscribers — From UVCMI to UV Maps
Compiled from 12 foundational posts (Posts #440 - #503) | April 2026
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Dr. UV’s UVCMI Model & Indicator Guide …………………………………… Post # 524_041526_Wed_6pm
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Table of Contents
The Mission: Why This Model Exists
The Foundation: UVCMI Mathematical Model
The Engine: UVCBI (Momentum Measurement)
The Memory: UVCTS (Trend Conviction)
The Game Changer: UVCKEY (Signal Regime)
The UVCKEY Signal Dashboard
The Culmination: UVCCI (Composite Indicator)
The Simplification: UV and UVC (Three States)
The Breakthrough: UV Maps
Multi-Timeframe Position Sizing with UV
The Profit Tracker: Signals to Basis Points
The Roadmap: What Is Coming
Indicator Reference Table
Source Posts & Further Reading
1. The Mission: Why This Model Exists
More than a decade ago, the UVCMI Mathematical Model was born from one conviction: price contains everything. Not earnings whispers, not Fed minutes, not Twitter threads. Price. The framework was built to extract signal from price alone -- across any asset, any timeframe.
Most market commentary changes with every headline, creating a costly feedback loop: more noise, more reactive interpretation, and less durable decision-making. Research on narrative-driven investing shows that shifting stories can dominate investor behavior and distort judgment before hard data fully catches up.
This model was built to move subscribers away from headline-chasing and toward a repeatable visual process focused on signal structure, trend state, and historical context.
“The mission is not prediction theater. The mission is ROTI enhancement -- Return On Time Invested -- by helping subscribers spend less energy on emotional interpretation and more on reading persistent market condition changes through a unified map.”
Subscribers do not need more headlines. They need a way to organize headlines inside a stable framework. By giving readers a map first and a story second, the model improves consistency, reduces interpretive drift, and sharpens time allocation toward the moments that actually matter.
2. The Foundation: UVCMI Mathematical Model
UVCMI is the original master indicator -- a multi-timeframe trend visualization system that shows persistent price regimes through proprietary color-coded profiles. It is calculated from a single proprietary formula incorporating the last 60 units of closing prices.
UVCMI can be calculated for any timeframe (hourly, daily, weekly) and is highly visual. Green and red values represent positive and negative momentum. Trend interpretation is immediate.
From this core engine came a family of proprietary indicators, each solving a specific problem:
UVCBI -- Momentum measurement. “Where is the thrust?”
UVCTS -- Trend conviction. “How committed is the trend?”
UVCKEY (UK) -- Signal regime. “What state is the market in right now?”
UVCCI -- Composite cumulative indicator. “Should I be in or out?”
UV / UVC -- Simplified 3-state signal and its cumulative path.
UV Maps -- Visual heat maps of market regimes across time.
3. The Engine: UVCBI (Momentum Measurement)
UVCBI is the simplified momentum breadth indicator -- the workhorse behind every tracker published. It can be calculated on any asset, any timeframe.
Each daily bar is mapped into one of seven UVCBI states (from strong positive to strong negative), and the price print is placed into the corresponding colored column so the prevailing regime is immediately visible.
This transforms a noisy price series into a structured state map. Runs of prints in the positive bands highlight sustained uptrends, while migrations into the negative bands flag distribution phases and risk pockets.
From Visualizer to Signal Caller
Using proprietary rules on UVCBI state transitions, clustering, and confirmation filters, each new up-regime is tagged as a Buy signal and each sustained negative turn as a Sell signal. Instead of simply saying “the trend is up,” the tool answers a trader’s real question: “Where did the actionable signal actually fire?”
Read the full UVCBI Profit Tracker post (Post #440) →
4. The Memory: UVCTS (Trend Conviction)
UVCTS -- the cumulative trend score -- tracks how deep and sustained a bullish or bearish regime has been, resetting on regime changes. It adds the dimension of trend duration and persistence, quantified.
While UVCBI tells you the current momentum direction and magnitude, UVCTS tells you how long and how consistently that momentum has been maintained. A high UVCTS reading means the trend has built deep conviction over many bars. A collapsing UVCTS warns that conviction is fading even if price hasn’t broken yet.
5. The Game Changer: UVCKEY (Signal Regime)
UVCKEY (UK) is the synthesis of UVCBI, momentum persistence (S21 scoring), and UVCTS -- distilled into a single number on a universal scale: -100 to +100. No decimals. No interpretation needed.
Ten years in the making. Extensively tested across 17,000+ data points, four datasets, two asset classes, and forty-one years of market history.
UK Tells You Seven Things at Once
Is the underlying price momentum positive or negative? (double-weighted)
Is that momentum accelerating or decelerating?
Has momentum been consistently positive/negative over the past 21 sessions?
Is that consistency improving or deteriorating?
Is the cumulative trend score positive or negative?
Has the trend score been consistently in one direction?
Is that consistency of trend improving or declining?
All seven are compressed into a single integer from -100 to +100.
Key Backtested Findings (17,000+ data points)
Bullish (UK >= +70):
61-65% win rate at 10 days in equities
Edge increases with holding period: 72-77% at 60 days
UK = +100 is a CONTINUATION signal, not exhaustion -- do not sell too early
Bearish (UK <= -70):
In equities: mean-reversion zone -- bounces are reliable (61-67% at 10-20 days)
In crypto: trend is REAL -- do not buy the dip
UK = -100 in crypto can persist for weeks to months
Read the full UVCKEY post (Post #475) →
6. The UVCKEY Signal Dashboard
The UVCKEY Signal Dashboard transforms the full Master Tracker signal matrix into an instantly readable, four-quadrant display. No scrolling through tables. The entire market landscape at a glance.
The Four Quadrants
Quadrant 1 -- Signal Treemap: Every ticker is a rectangle. Color = UK signal. Size = UVCTS magnitude. Instantly see leaders vs. laggards.
Quadrant 2 -- Sector Barometer: Average UK score by sector, ranked. Instantly answers: “Which sectors should I be looking at?”
Quadrant 3 -- 30-Day Sparklines: Mini charts showing UK trajectory for all 38 names. See exactly when signals flipped.
Quadrant 4 -- Signal Distribution: Bull/bear breakdown donut chart plus key statistics.
“This is what institutional desks have. Now you have it too. ROTI just went vertical.”
See the full UVCKEY Dashboard post (Post #479) →
7. The Culmination: UVCCI (Composite Indicator)
UVCCI -- UV Composite Cumulative Indicator -- synthesizes every signal in the UVCMI family into a single, cumulative position-sizing metric. One number. One direction. One answer to the question every investor asks: Should I be in this market or out?
What Is UVCCI?
UVCCI is a cumulative composite score derived from four inputs:
UVCBI (momentum direction and magnitude)
UVCKEY (signal regime: -100 to +100)
UVCTS (cumulative trend conviction)
Short-term price dynamics (directional persistence)
When momentum, signal, trend conviction, and price action all agree, the score is large. When they diverge, the score compresses toward zero. A rising UVCCI means the market is in a confirmed positive regime. A declining UVCCI means capital is at risk.
“No interpretation. No subjectivity. The math speaks.”
The Proof: 40 Years, 10,200 Trading Days, 5 Major Crashes
UVCCI has been tested on the NASDAQ Composite from October 1985 through March 2026:
1987 Black Monday -- UVCCI sell signal: Oct 8, 1987. Decline avoided: 29%. Lead time: 7 trading days before the crash.
2000 Dot-Com Bust -- UVCCI first warning: Mar 14, 2000. Decline avoided: 24%. Lead time: 4 days after the all-time high.
2008 Global Financial Crisis -- UVCCI sell signal: Sep 2, 2008. Decline avoided: 37%. Lead time: 13 days before Lehman.
2020 COVID Crash -- UVCCI sell signal: Feb 24, 2020. Decline avoided: 30%. Lead time: 3 days after peak.
2022 Bear Market -- UVCCI first sell: Jan 5, 2022. Decline avoided: 31%. Lead time: 2 days after peak.
5 for 5 on major crashes across 40 years. Average decline sidestepped: 30%. Average lead time: days, not weeks.
The Simple Rules
When UVCCI is rising: stay invested, scale up.
When UVCCI is declining: reduce exposure, preserve capital.
When UVCCI flips from declining to rising: re-enter.
“That is the entire system. Maximum clarity. Minimum visual. Highest ROTI.”
Read the full UVCCI post (Post #486) →
8. The Simplification: UV and UVC (Three States)
UVCCI was powerful -- but still a number. Subscribers needed something they could read faster. Something visual. That is where UV was born:
UV = 1: Bullish. The trend is on.
UV = 0: Neutral. Transition zone.
UV = -1: Bearish. Risk-off.
Three states. One signal. Universal.
UVC is its cumulative expression -- showing not just the current condition, but the traveled path through time. Together, UV and UVC create a bridge between daily interpretation and the deep structure of market cycles.
“1Q of QQQ...it is 0, 1, or -1...that’s all folks. It cannot be any simpler than that.”
Read the full UV simplification post (Post #494) →
9. The Breakthrough: UV Maps
UV Maps took the UV signal and plotted it across time in a way never done before. Each row is one quarter. Each column is one trading day. The cell is colored by UV state: green (1), gray (0), pink (-1).
The result: a heat map that reveals structural market regimes invisible on any traditional chart. Walls of green show sustained bull runs. Blocks of red expose persistent bear phases. Flickering transition bands reveal the dangerous zones where most traders lose money.
“This is not another indicator overlay. This is a visual operating system for market structure.”
QQQ: NASDAQ 100 Quarterly Trend DNA (5 Years)
3Q 2020: A wall of green. 56 consecutive UV=1 days. Quarterly score +62.5%. QQQ moved from 221 to 265. The map said: hold.
2Q 2022: A wall of red. Score of -71.0%. QQQ dropped from 370 to 270. The map kept you out.
1Q 2026: Score of -26.2%. The transition band. Mixed signals, weight tilts negative. Size down, stay defensive.
SOXX: Semiconductors Tell a Deeper Story
SOXX in 4Q 2020 printed a quarterly UV score of +79.7% -- even stronger than QQQ’s +67.2%. Semiconductors were the leadership group, and the UV Map captured that relative strength automatically.
“UV Maps do not just tell you the trend. They tell you where the trend is strongest.”
BTC: A Decade Through the UV Lens (48 Quarters)
48 quarters mapped from Q4 2015 through Q2 2026. The UV Map reveals something critical about Bitcoin: it operates in distinct regime blocks. Unlike equities, BTC tends to flip decisively between bull and bear.
2017 Bull: Walls of green. BTC from $1,000 to $20,000.
2018 Crypto Winter: Dominant pink. BTC from $20K to $3K.
4Q 2024: Massive green wall. Post-election rally. UV=1 for 75 consecutive days.
1Q 2026: Extended bearish regime. UV=-1 for 40 consecutive days.
15 years of action can fit on a single screen -- or even 60 years with horizontal scrolling. In 2 screens, a whole 120-year database can be compressed with signals.
See the UV Maps post (Post #496) → | QQQ/SOXX Maps (Post #501) → | BTC UV Map (Post #502) →
10. Multi-Timeframe Position Sizing with UV
UV across multiple timeframes becomes a position-sizing engine. Track UV across five timeframes (1D, 2D, 3D, 4D, 5D). Position size tracks how many are aligned.
The Sizing Rules
1-2 UVs at 1: Starter size
3-4 UVs at 1: Core size
All 5 UVs at 1: Full size, add on dips until the stack breaks
3+ frames flip out of 1: Start cutting size
4-5 frames at -1: Position size is zero. No nibbling, no DCA, no hero trades.
Four Market States
Full Bear Stack: All five timeframes at -1. UVC stair-stepping lower. This alone would have avoided several 50-70% drawdowns in the last decade.
Full Bull Stack: All five at +1. UVC rising steadily. Most of the 5-10x BTC legs lived in these zones -- long, boring green walls in UV space.
Transition Band: Lower frames start flickering. Stop adding. When top-frame UVC stops rising and lower frames lose alignment, reduce size.
Counter-Trend Bounce: 1D green pulse against a fully bearish higher stack. This bounce is for traders, not investors.
“If one 3-state signal across five timeframes can keep you on the right side of BTC, it can be applied anywhere: SPY, QQQ, SOXX, GLD, FX, commodities.”
Read the full BTC Position Sizing post (Post #499) →
11. The Profit Tracker: Signals to Basis Points
The Profit Tracker completes the trading dashboard by quantifying every signal in basis points. For every signal, the system calculates the number of bars active (signal duration) and the cumulative basis points (CBPS) generated from onset.
The all-in-one layout integrates three layers:
Trend Visualizer: Shows the underlying UVCBI state context for each bar
Signal Caller: Converts states into discrete, rule-based Buy/Sell decisions
Profit Tracker: Quantifies exactly how much each signal is worth in basis points over time
Being able to see, on a single screen, where the up-leg started, how long it has run, and how many basis points it has generated gives you both conviction and discipline.
See the Profit Tracker in action (Post #440) →
12. The Roadmap: What Is Coming
NDX UV Map: 40 years of NASDAQ daily signals -- the deepest trend archive ever built with UV
SPX and DJI: 120 years of market history compressed into 2 screens with horizontal scrolling
Multi-Timeframe Position Sizing Screens: 1hr, 2hr, 4hr, 1D through 5D on a single screen
Cross-Asset UV Maps: 38 tickers from the Master Tracker, all visualized with signals as a function of time
Expanding Dashboards: SOXX33, SS36 Sectors, MAG20, Crypto, Data Centers
Historical comparison mode: Overlay today’s signals vs. any prior date
Custom portfolio view: Build your own ticker list, get instant dashboard
Every asset, every timeframe, one consistent lens.
Read the full Roadmap post (Post #497) →
13. Indicator Reference Table
UVCMI | Foundation model | The original multi-timeframe trend engine. Color-coded profiles from 60 closing prices.
UVCBI | Momentum engine | Where is the thrust? Simplified breadth for any asset, any timeframe.
UVCTS | Trend memory | How committed is the trend? Duration and persistence, quantified.
UVCKEY (UK) | Signal regime | What state is the market in? Seven dimensions in one integer (-100 to +100).
UVCCI | Composite synthesis | Should I be in or out? Fuses UVCBI + UK + UVCTS + price dynamics.
UV | Current state | Is the market on (1), neutral (0), or off (-1)?
UVC | Cumulative path | How has that state evolved through time?
UV Maps | Historical visualization | Where does the current signal sit inside the bigger market story?
The Hierarchy: From Maps to Signals to Sizing
Layer 1 -- UV Map: Trend visualization (what you see)
Layer 2 -- UV Signals: Proprietary entry/exit rules
Layer 3 -- Position Sizing: Dynamic allocation based on signal strength and risk profile
“The map is the terrain. The signal is the route. The sizing is the vehicle.”
14. Source Posts & Further Reading
This guide was compiled from the following foundational posts. Click any link to read the full post:
Post #440 -- UGA...Unveiling Dr. UV’s Profit Tracker UVCBI Signal Caller (Mar 9, 2026)
Post #475 -- Unveiling Unique Universal Ultimate UVCKEY (Mar 20, 2026)
Post #479 -- Unveiling the UVCKEY Signal Dashboard (Mar 23, 2026)
Post #486 -- Unveiling Ultimate Unique Universal UVCCI (Mar 26, 2026)
Post #491 -- UVCCI..Simplest Visualization of Signal Trading (Mar 30, 2026)
Post #494 -- That’s All You Need to Know 1 0 -1 (Mar 31, 2026)
Post #496 -- How to Squeeze 15 Years of Signals in One Screen (Apr 1, 2026)
Post #497 -- Evolution and Future Direction of Dr. UV’s Model (Apr 1, 2026)
Post #499 -- BTC: One Signal, 5 Timeframes -- UV as a Position-Sizing Engine (Apr 1, 2026)
Post #501 -- Unveiling UVC Maps: QQQ, SOXX From 2020 (Apr 2, 2026)
Post #502 -- BTC UV Map: A Decade of Bitcoin Through the UV Lens (Apr 2, 2026)
Post #503 -- From UVCMI to UV Maps: The Journey to a Visual Market Operating System (Apr 2, 2026)
(c) 2026 Dr. UV. All Rights Reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. Do Not Reproduce.
Disclaimer: Dr. UV’s analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. UVCCI is a research and trend-visualization tool, not a standalone trading system. Always manage risk appropriately.